Thursday, March 14, 2013

Flex Portfolio Performance Through February 2013

Here are the performance data for the most widely-used Flex portfolios and their strategic counterparts comprised of Vanguard or Fidelity index funds.

As the stock markets in the USA set or rapidly approach all-time highs despite mixed macroeconomic data globally and confounding politics domestically, I believe the Flex portfolios remain the most effective way to be fully-invested but ready to weather storms that may be brewing.


US and Foreign Indexes 1 mo 3 mo YTD 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 10 yr
Stock Markets (50-40-10) 0.2% 7.3% 5.0% 10.6% 4.8% 10.0% 2.1% 9.6%
S&P 500 1.4% 7.6% 6.6% 13.3% 9.1% 13.4% 4.9% 8.1%
MSCI EAFE -1.0% 7.6% 4.2% 9.8% 0.8% 6.7% -1.3% 9.2%
Barclays Agg Bond--US 0.5% -0.3% -0.2% 3.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.0%
Barclays Agg Bond--Global -1.0% -2.2% -1.9% 0.8% 3.6% 4.4% 4.1% 5.5%









Moderately Aggressive 0.1% 5.8% 4.1% 9.8% 5.2% 9.4% 2.7% 8.4%
80 Flex IV -0.1% 4.0% 2.6% 7.1% 5.9% 9.4% 7.4% 10.7%
80 Flex III -0.2% 4.3% 2.6% 8.0% 5.4% 9.2%

80 Fidelity 0.1% 6.1% 3.9% 10.0% 4.9% 9.4% 3.0% 8.5%









Moderate 0.0% 3.9% 2.8% 7.7% 5.2% 8.4% 3.4% 7.7%
60 Flex IV 0.0% 4.0% 2.5% 8.5% 6.7% 9.8% 7.8% 10.9%
60 Flex III 0.0% 3.8% 2.3% 8.8% 6.3% 9.5%

60 Vanguard 0.3% 4.2% 2.9% 9.1% 6.2% 9.4% 4.2% 7.9%









Moderately Conservative 0.0% 2.1% 1.5% 5.7% 5.2% 7.3% 3.9% 6.9%
40 Flex IV 0.2% 3.4% 2.1% 9.4% 7.3% 9.7% 8.2% 10.2%
40 Vanguard 0.5% 2.7% 1.9% 7.5% 6.5% 8.5% 4.9% 7.1%









Asset Allocation Cash Stock Bond Other



80 Flex IV 24% 46% 21% 9%



60 Flex IV 21% 40% 30% 9%



40 Flex IV 23% 26% 44% 7%