Thursday, August 22, 2013

Flex and Strategic Portfolio Performance Through July 2013

Bond markets have been suffering, while most of our bond funds have been faring better.  Stock markets have been roaring, and it has been hard for Flex to keep up while Strategic has done very well.  But in the most important time periods--5-yr and 10-yr--both the Flex and Strategic portfolios have significantly outperformed their benchmarks.  Also, Strategic portfolios have outperformed benchmarks in almost every time period, often by a lot, while faring better than their benchmarks in 2008.  Meanwhile, most of the Flex portfolios went down only about half as much as their benchmarks in 2008.

If you have a long-term view and are comfortable with volatility, the Strategic portfolios may be most suitable.  If you are anxious about short- and intermediate-term volatility but want to remain fully invested, I still highly recommend the Flex portfolios.

Here are the numbers through July:


US and Foreign Indexes
3 mo 1 yr 3 yr 5 yr 10 yr 2008
Stock Markets (50-40-10)
1.8% 21.8% 12.2% 4.6% 8.3% -40.7%
S&P 500
6.1% 24.8% 17.6% 8.2% 7.6% -37.0%
MSCI EAFE
-0.9% 23.4% 8.5% 1.0% 7.8% -43.1%
Barclays Agg Bond--US
-3.2% -1.9% 3.2% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2%
Barclays Agg Bond--Global
-2.9% -2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 5.2% 4.8%








Moderately Aggressive
1.5% 18.6% 11.3% 5.0% 7.5% -32.0%
80 Flex III
-1.2% 9.3% 8.4% 7.8%
-13.8%
80 Flex IV
-0.7% 10.5% 11.3% 8.4% 9.9% -14.0%
80 Strategic
4.2% 29.8% 16.2% 13.8% 11.9% -31.7%
Fidelity 80
1.9% 19.7% 11.3% 5.2% 7.6% -32.0%
Russell Growth
1.0% 15.3% 9.3% 4.0% 6.5% -36.1%








Moderate
0.4% 13.0% 9.3% 5.0% 7.1% -23.1%
60 Flex III
-1.0% 10.0% 8.5% 5.0%
-12.6%
60 Flex IV
-0.7% 10.8% 9.0% 8.8% 10.3% -11.5%
60 Strategic
1.0% 20.2% 13.0% 12.4% 10.9% -23.0%
Vanguard 60
-0.2% 13.4% 9.8% 5.8% 7.2% -23.8%
Russell Balanced
0.1% 11.8% 8.2% 4.9% 6.3% -30.0%








Moderately Conservative
-0.7% 7.7% 7.2% 4.9% 6.5% -13.3%
40 Flex IV
-1.7% 8.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% -7.2%
Vanguard 40
-1.4% 8.1% 7.8% 5.9% 6.6% -15.1%
Russell Moderate
-1.6% 6.8% 6.5% 5.2% 5.4% -23.5%








Conservative
-1.8% 2.5% 5.1% 4.6% 5.8% -2.5%
20 Flex IV
-2.7% 7.0% 7.5% 9.1% 8.9% -2.9%
Vanguard 20
-2.9% 3.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% -5.6%
Russell Conservative
-2.1% 3.3% 4.9% 5.2% 4.5% -15.5%








Asset Allocation Cash Stock Bond Other


80 Flex IV 24% 44% 23% 9%


60 Flex IV 24% 38% 31% 8%


40 Flex IV 26% 25% 43% 6%


20 Flex IV 27% 12% 56% 5%










NOTE 1:  Past performance is no guarantee of specific future results.  This data is presented by Potomac Wealth Strategies, LLC.  This data is from Morningstar and should be accurate, but it has not been independently verified.








NOTE 2:  "Flex" and "Strategic" portfolios are designed and managed by Potomac Wealth Strategies, LLC.  These models show track records of better returns, lower volatility, or both, compared to their benchmarks and popular competitors.








NOTE 3:  "Vanguard 80" and "Fidelity 80" are low-cost Moderately Aggressive portfolios.  They are comprised of index funds from Vanguard or Fidelity.  This is what many might recommend due to low-costs and portfolio efficiency.








NOTE 4:  Russell portfolios are offered by one of the most highly-regarded institutional money managers in the country.  These portfolios handle money for dozens of high net-worth people and famous organizations.








NOTE 5:  Nothing on this blog post represents investment advice to any individual or organization.  If the information hereon is of interest to you, please contact us at Garo.Partoyan@PotomacWealthStrategies.com for a consultation.